WN 2356 · LAS → OKC

departs 2:21 PM PT · arrives 6:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2356 · LAS → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?