Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2369
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 2369 · LAS → STL
departs 11:15 AM PT · arrives 4:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Wed 9/30 23%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 25%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at STL
↑
11am departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
STL (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,867 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.