Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2419
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2419 · LAX → PHX
departs 8:55 AM PT · arrives 10:25 AM MT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 10%
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.