WN 2484 · MDW → CVG

departs 7:31 PM CT · arrives 9:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 967 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 7pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ CVG usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling967 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.65 in

CVG (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2484 · MDW → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?