Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2485
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 2485 · LGB → LAS
departs 6:15 PM PT · arrives 7:25 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 35%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
LGB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LGB (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.