Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2499 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

WN 2499 · SAN → SAT

departs 9:10 AM PT · arrives 2:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 2.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ 9am departures from SAN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at SAN that day

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precip2.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2499 · SAN → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?