Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2500
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 2500 · LGB → SJC
departs 7:50 PM PT · arrives 9:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 24%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SJC at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SJC that day
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LGB that day
Weather at each end
LGB (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
SJC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.