WN 2511 · RDU → BNA

departs 10:51 AM ET · arrives 11:34 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2511 · RDU → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?