tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2515 SCHEDULED

WN 2515 · LAX → SMF

departs 12:06 PM PT · arrives 1:39 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SMF?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.