WN 2560 · LGB → LAS

departs 2:11 PM PT · arrives 3:23 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from LGB are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LGB (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2560 · LGB → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?