Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2566
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 2566 · MCI → MCO
departs 2:55 PM CT · arrives 6:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 9/30 19%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 17%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±9 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.77 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.