Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2572
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 2572 · MCI → MDW
departs 2:10 PM CT · arrives 3:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Other factors
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.64 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 967 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.65 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.