WN 2592 · HOU → PHX

departs 12:21 PM CT · arrives 1:10 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±0 pts +39 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
37%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.73 in

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2592 · HOU → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?