WN 2593 · LIH → OGG

departs 1:31 PM HT · arrives 2:42 PM HT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OGG?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at LIH that day

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ LIH usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.91 in

OGG (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2593 · LIH → OGG

Odds over time

How late will it get to OGG?