WN 261 · HOU → ABQ

departs 3:01 PM CT · arrives 4:18 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HOU that day

↑ 3pm departures from HOU are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.73 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 261 · HOU → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?