Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2631
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2631 · MCO → DEN
departs 12:30 PM ET · arrives 2:20 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 16%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
12pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.