WN 2640 · MCI → MCO

departs 5:06 PM CT · arrives 8:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
33%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.32 in

MCO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2640 · MCI → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?