WN 2648 · DEN → MCI

departs 4:22 PM MT · arrives 7:09 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.64 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2648 · DEN → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?