WN 2648 · MCI → MDW

departs 7:31 PM CT · arrives 9:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

72% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.32 in

MDW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2648 · MCI → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?