WN 2652 · MCI → PHX

departs 8:46 AM CT · arrives 9:40 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.64 in

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2652 · MCI → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?