WN 2664 · PHX → LAX

departs 11:06 AM MT · arrives 12:34 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from PHX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2664 · PHX → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?