Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2670
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2670 · MCO → MSY
departs 4:15 PM ET · arrives 5:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 51%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±5 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.14 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.