WN 2679 · MKE → BWI

departs 12:21 PM CT · arrives 3:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MKE that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from MKE are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.87 in

BWI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2679 · MKE → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?