Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2719
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 2719 · MDW → ABQ
departs 12:05 PM CT · arrives 2:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 16%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
12pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.97 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 6,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.