WN 2727 · DEN → SNA

departs 10:01 AM MT · arrives 11:21 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SNA that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2727 · DEN → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?