WN 2731 · MCO → BUF

departs 8:06 PM ET · arrives 10:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

BUF (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2731 · MCO → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?