WN 2733 · MCO → CMH

departs 5:06 PM ET · arrives 7:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 5pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

CMH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2733 · MCO → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?