WN 2746 · MDW → DTW

departs 7:36 PM CT · arrives 9:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 967 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↑ 7pm departures from MDW are often late

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.18 in

DTW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling5,240 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2746 · MDW → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?