WN 274 · BNA → SAV

departs 4:36 PM CT · arrives 7:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SAV at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at SAV that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 274 · BNA → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?