WN 2753 · MCO → MHT

departs 8:06 PM ET · arrives 11:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MHT?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MHT

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MHT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2753 · MCO → MHT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MHT?