Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2756
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 2756 · PHL → MDW
departs 5:20 PM ET · arrives 6:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 38%
Mon 10/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
5pm departures from PHL are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.94 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.