WN 2781 · MCO → PIT

departs 11:16 AM ET · arrives 1:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 11am departures from MCO are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2781 · MCO → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?