WN 2809 · SRQ → CMH

departs 12:16 PM ET · arrives 2:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SRQ are often late

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

SRQ (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.16 in

CMH (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2809 · SRQ → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?