WN 2814 · STL → DEN

departs 6:41 PM CT · arrives 8:03 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility4.33333 mi Precip0.36 in

DEN (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2814 · STL → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?