WN 2819 · TYS → DAL

departs 1:51 PM ET · arrives 3:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.6 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.59 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2819 · TYS → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?