WN 2826 · MDW → ATL

departs 12:54 PM CT · arrives 4:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 12pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.73 in

ATL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2826 · MDW → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?