WN 2827 · MDW → ATL

departs 5:44 PM CT · arrives 8:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±9 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from MDW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.71 in

ATL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2827 · MDW → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?