WN 2874 · LAS → ICT

departs 2:26 PM PT · arrives 7:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day

↑ 2pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ICT (destination) Gusts36 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.81 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2874 · LAS → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?