Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 287
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 287 · LAS → RNO
departs 10:15 PM PT · arrives 11:40 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Mon 10/5 19%
Fri 10/9 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
RNO (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.