WN 2889 · MDW → HOU

departs 9:42 AM CT · arrives 12:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
17%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.18 in

HOU (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.73 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2889 · MDW → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?