Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2899
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
WN 2899 · MDW → SRQ
departs 2:10 PM CT · arrives 5:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 22%
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
−16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day
↑
2pm departures from MDW are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 1.18 in
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.