WN 2931 · BNA → MHT

departs 1:21 PM CT · arrives 4:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MHT?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MHT at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

MHT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2931 · BNA → MHT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MHT?