Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2945
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2945 · MKE → DEN
departs 1:50 PM CT · arrives 3:20 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 23%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MKE that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MKE (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.27 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.