Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2979
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2979 · MSY → AUS
departs 4:00 PM CT · arrives 5:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 58%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
71%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
71%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
31%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.24 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.94 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.