Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2992
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2992 · MSY → DEN
departs 10:45 AM CT · arrives 12:25 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.