WN 3009 · TUL → DAL

departs 12:21 PM CT · arrives 1:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.6 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 2.0 in of rain forecast at TUL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late

↓ 12pm departures from TUL are usually not late

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility5 mi Precip2.04 in

DAL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.59 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3009 · TUL → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?