WN 3035 · MDW → LGB

departs 12:01 PM CT · arrives 2:21 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±3 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 12pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.25 in

LGB (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3035 · MDW → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?