WN 3045 · MKE → BWI

departs 6:47 PM CT · arrives 9:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MKE that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.07 in

BWI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3045 · MKE → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?