WN 3062 · TPA → AUS

departs 6:36 PM ET · arrives 8:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

90% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
9%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
47%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 2.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ 6pm departures from TPA are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.41 in

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility5.66667 mi Precip2.64 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3062 · TPA → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?