Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3079
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 3079 · LAS → MCI
departs 2:35 PM PT · arrives 7:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Wed 9/30 35%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 36%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±7 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.